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May 27, 2020

The European Leveraged Loans market—like other credit markets—suffered from a sudden and indiscriminate market price decrease at the beginning of the Covid-19 crisis in March, mainly resulting from lack of liquidity across all sub-investment markets and concerns about future rating downgrades and increased probability of defaults.

The European Leveraged Loans market—like other credit markets—suffered from a sudden and indiscriminate market price decrease at the beginning of the Covid-19 crisis in March, mainly resulting from lack of liquidity across all sub-investment markets and concerns about future rating downgrades and increased probability of defaults.

May 14, 2020

After closing one of the worst quarters ever for equity markets, Q2 started on a high note, with indices (S&P 500 and Euro Stoxx 600) recovering markedly from the bottom hit during the previous month. According to Amundi Asset Management, there is clearly a battle between bull and bear forces taking place.

After closing one of the worst quarters ever for equity markets, Q2 started on a high note, with indices (S&P 500 and Euro Stoxx 600) recovering markedly from the bottom hit during the previous month. According to Amundi Asset Management, there is clearly a battle between bull and bear forces taking place.

April 29, 2020

Duncan MacInnes, investment director, discusses Covid-19: how it has changed the investment landscape, the impact on the Ruffer portfolio and what could happen next.

Duncan MacInnes, investment director, discusses Covid-19: how it has changed the investment landscape, the impact on the Ruffer portfolio and what could happen next.

This is the first episode of a new series of podcasts, where Ruffer will be exploring the investment universe and sharing their interpretation of what’s going on.

“It’s our view that we are moving through an economic regime change,” MacInnes (pictured) said.

April 23, 2020

These are unprecedented and unpredictable times for family businesses of every shape and size. Whilst many are in survival mode, others may have started to consider the future, rethinking what their operating model looks like.

These are unprecedented and unpredictable times for family businesses of every shape and size. Whilst many are in survival mode, others may have started to consider the future, rethinking what their operating model looks like.

The tendency for family firms to pull together in times of crisis stands them in good stead—but as the world adjusts to its new normal, opportunities will open up for family businesses to continue to thrive in a post Covid-19 world.

April 20, 2020

After the first wave of the Covid-19 outbreak in China and East Asia, and the second wave in Western Europe and North America, a third wave now looks to be building in several Emerging Markets (EM) and frontier countries, says Amundi Asset Management. EM and frontier countries may be able to benefit from the experiences and best practices then put in place in countries affected by the pandemic earlier. However, most of them do not have well-equipped health systems and lack the resources to deal with a health emergency vs developed countries. Covid-19 will have very significant negative effects on the economic outlooks for EM, mostly leading to recessions.

After the first wave of the Covid-19 outbreak in China and East Asia, and the second wave in Western Europe and North America, a third wave now looks to be building in several Emerging Markets (EM) and frontier countries, says Amundi Asset Management.

April 9, 2020

The era of monetary dominance is over. Helicopter money signals investment regime changes ahead.

The era of monetary dominance is over. Helicopter money signals investment regime changes ahead.

It was the avalanche we have long feared. From record peak to bear market, the S&P fell faster during the ‘corona crash’ than ever before, as the chart below shows.

At peak turmoil, conventional offsets (bonds, gold) proved flaky friends: investors sold what they could, not what they perhaps should. Specialist crash protections allowed Ruffer portfolios to hold their ground.

April 1, 2020

When the elements speak, elemental forces are unleashed, and it is important, in the middle of this storm, to capture the right tone of voice. Any false attempt to give reassurance, to boast about early success, to bury oneself in clichés, is unhelpful—even worse, it is historic: by the time these words are read, events will have unfolded which make them, as the CD music reviews have it, ‘Of historic interest only’. We are a long way from terra firma; at the time of writing, it’s a case of ‘so far, so good’. If this were a tennis match, all we could say is that we’ve had a decent first set.

March 30, 2020

In this unprecedented time of high uncertainty from a sanitary and economic perspective, the different drivers at play are moving in different directions. These forces make the exercise of GDP forecasting quite tricky and not particularly helpful for the time being.

In this unprecedented time of high uncertainty from a sanitary and economic perspective, the different drivers at play are moving in different directions. These forces make the exercise of GDP forecasting quite tricky and not particularly helpful for the time being.

As of the writing of this article on 25 March, 2020, markets are leading the real economic cycle and therefore they will bottom before the end of the pandemic. However, they will calm down and be reassured on the path forward when they can anchor expectations on three points:

February 7, 2020

Amundi SA's alternative and real assets business launched in 2016 with the ambition to integrate all its unlisted assets expertise in real estate, private debt, private equity and infrastructure. This was in response to growing investor demand for such asset classes, through which it is possible to capture an illiquidity premium and diversify portfolios. Since then, funds under management have doubled to €54 billion ($58 billion)—hitting the target the firm set itself when it launched the platform.

Amundi SA's alternative and real assets business launched in 2016 with the ambition to integrate all its unlisted assets expertise in real estate, private debt, private equity and infrastructure. This was in response to growing investor demand for such asset classes, through which it is possible to capture an illiquidity premium and diversify portfolios. Since then, funds under management have doubled to €54 billion ($58 billion)—hitting the target the firm set itself when it launched the platform.

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