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inflation

March 31, 2021

The death of inflation has been greatly exaggerated. Its return will first scare, then maim, then ruin the traditional balanced portfolios have that served investors well for a generation. Investors need to prepare for a world of greater inflation volatility. And with it a monumental risk—bonds and equities falling in tandem.

The death of inflation has been greatly exaggerated. Its return will first scare, then maim, then ruin the traditional balanced portfolios have that served investors well for a generation. Investors need to prepare for a world of greater inflation volatility. And with it a monumental risk—bonds and equities falling in tandem.

Investors’ great fear

March 24, 2021

In this latest survey by Russell Investments, 50 leading bond and currency managers considered valuations, expectations and outlooks for the coming months. What are the inflation expectations going forward and will higher rates in the developed world dent the previous optimism for emerging market debt?

In this latest survey by Russell Investments, 50 leading bond and currency managers considered valuations, expectations and outlooks for the coming months.

March 4, 2021

The UK Chancellor, Rishi Sunak, announced his 2021 UK Budget with two significant goals: To provide support for households and businesses through the final stage of the coronavirus pandemic and to provide a roadmap for how the government plans to reduce the fiscal deficit over time and pay for pandemic support measures.

The UK Chancellor, Rishi Sunak, announced his 2021 UK Budget with two significant goals:

1. Provide support for households and businesses through the final stage of the coronavirus pandemic.

2. Provide a roadmap for how the government plans to reduce the fiscal deficit over time and pay for pandemic support measures.

February 18, 2021

We all know that 2020 was an incredible, and terrible, year. The pandemic caused the worst recession for centuries, along with an appalling death toll and suffering. Meanwhile financial assets pushed ever upwards, surfing a wave of liquidity meant to counteract the impact of the pandemic.

We all know that 2020 was an incredible, and terrible, year. The pandemic caused the worst recession for centuries, along with an appalling death toll and suffering. Meanwhile financial assets pushed ever upwards, surfing a wave of liquidity meant to counteract the impact of the pandemic.

The chart below shows that it was also a record year for share issuance, surpassing even the heady days of 1999-2000.

February 12, 2021

A Canadian next-generation entrepreneur says more families are investing sustainably in forestry to achieve their impact goals and for the long-term inflation-proof returns of timber as an asset in their portfolios.

A Canadian next-generation entrepreneur says more families are investing sustainably in forestry to achieve their impact goals and for the long-term inflation-proof returns of timber as an asset in their portfolios.

Michael Ackerman (pictured), 38, is the president and chief executive of EcoForests Asset Management. His socially responsible boutique forestry investment management company is headquartered in Toronto and operates 45 plantations in Latin America.

January 13, 2021

The 2020 election did not result in the massive blue wave that many predicted, but there are definitely still blue ripples reaching shore—especially now that Democrats won both Senate seats in the Georgia runoff elections.

The 2020 election did not result in the massive blue wave that many predicted, but there are definitely still blue ripples reaching shore—especially now that Democrats won both Senate seats in the Georgia runoff elections.

With the Democrats controlling the White House and now both houses of Congress, there are certainly changes in tax policy and other areas that ultra-wealthy families should expect and watch closely.

December 14, 2020

The 60/40 portfolio has served investors well for the past 50 years (1). It has been the allocation of choice for traditional balanced portfolios—60% in equities for the good times, 40% in bonds for the bad (and for the yield).

The 60/40 portfolio has served investors well for the past 50 years (1). It has been the allocation of choice for traditional balanced portfolios—60% in equities for the good times, 40% in bonds for the bad (and for the yield).

The past 50 years have been characterised by falling interest rates, low inflation and low volatility. A superb environment for both bonds and equities. But we may be entering a regime change which could see these conditions reverse.

December 10, 2020

We believe that vaccine prospects are likely to make 2021 a year of global economic recovery. While markets have priced in a fair amount of the good news, more gains seem possible as corporate profits rebound and central banks remain on hold.

We believe that vaccine prospects are likely to make 2021 a year of global economic recovery. While markets have priced in a fair amount of the good news, more gains seem possible as corporate profits rebound and central banks remain on hold.

With the world in the early post-recession recovery phase of the business cycle, our medium-term outlook for economies and corporate earnings is positive. We believe that 2021 will feature an extended period of low-inflation, low-interest rate growth that favours equities over bonds.

October 8, 2020

Whatever one’s outlook, there have been times in 2020 when the markets seemed to echo one’s innermost thoughts, and times when we shout out like Falstaff, that the whole world has gone mad. The bulls and the bears have had their time in the sun, and their time on the dark face of the moon—what follows is a digested diary of our journey through the year 2020 so far.

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